Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Trends emerge in nationwide Democratic vote

As tonight's primary voting proceeds, several patterns are emerging among Democratic voters.

Combined exit polling from the states holding Democratic primaries today shows:

-The economy is most often seen as being the most important issue facing the country today. However, those naming the economy are split about evenly between Sen. Hillary Clinton and Sen. Barack Obama with just slightly more supporting Sen. Clinton.

Makes sense.  Neither candidate has a strong record for fiscal responsibility.

-The war in Iraq is seen as the 2nd most important issue. In this instance, the issue moves voters more in Sen. Obama's direction.

Again makes sense.  With the war in Iraq becoming increasingly unpopular, the guy who said "I didn't want to go in the first place" is bound to be more popular then someone who did.

-About half of all voters in states holding Democratic primaries today say the quality that mattered most in deciding how to vote today is that the candidate "can bring about needed change." Those feeling this way support Sen. Obama over Sen. Clinton by more than a two-to-one margin.

In other words, idiots who are easily subject to brainwashing with a few choice catchphrases and/or slogans.

-Fewer Democratic voters see "having the right experience" as being the most important factor in their vote. However, those holding this view overwhelmingly voted for Sen. Clinton.

Well most people see Hillary has having "experience" in a different light then I do.  Being married to someone who's in politics does NOT give you "experience".  It gives you insight, but not experience.

-The black vote is going strongly for Sen. Obama thus far in the voting. White voters more often support Sen. Clinton but the margin is not large. White women are providing a good-sized voting margin for Sen. Clinton. White men, thus far, are more often voting for Sen. Obama than for Sen. Clinton.

Why does race have anything to do with it?  As a side note, I'd be VERY curious to see how many people voted for a particular candidate because they are black, white, or a woman.  I know it's never going to happen, but I'd be curious as to how far we've come as a nation to overcome bigotry. 

-Latinos in states holding Democratic primaries are supporting Clinton by a fairly wide margin

Again, what's with the race issues?

-Obama does well among young voters - white as well as black, although much more among black voters. Sen. Clinton is especially strong among voters 65 years of age and older.

No surprises here.

-Sen. Clinton does better among less prosperous voters; Sen. Obama is ahead among college-educated and higher income voters.

Is it because Hillary has managed to brainwash people into believing that she's "working for the poor"?  I'd bet on it.

-Sen. Clinton does slightly better among Democratic primary voters identifying themselves as Democrats. Sen. Obama does much better among self-identified independents who voted Democratic today.

This one is odd.  I thought I'd see more of a 50/50 thing here, but I guess not.  I've been wrong before. :)

-Sen. Obama does better among Democratic voters calling themselves liberals; Sen. Clinton does slightly better among moderates.

No surprises there either.

 

All in all, the results of the state votes are starting to come in and while McCain has had a big night, Obama and Clinton are duking it out.  Hopefully, I'll have a final score before I head to bed.

 

Travis

travis@rightwinglunatic.com

http://forums.rightwinglunatic.com

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